CORONAVIRUS, LOCKDOWN, AND ECONOMY

Helmuth Yesid Arias Gomez, Gabriela Antosova

Abstract


Humanity has faced an unprecedented biological threat that collapsed the global economy and engulfed the animal spirits in a severe wave of pessimism and fear. The measures of policy have combined an expansive monetary policy and an extra fiscal expenditure that was not contemplated in the budgetary planning exercise. The recuperation stage is strongly challenging and requires all efforts of economic policy. The future global economic performance relies on the breaking policy postures that can succeed in realigning the path of growth in the long run. In any case, the destruction in the economic net and employment is so hard to restore that we must avoid the risk is to align the economy in a more stagnant path of growth for the future. The concluding part of the paper states that during the pandemic we saw that the way ahead should not be headed by the market mechanism but instead by an openly interventionist economic policy. In this blatantly ominous stage of the economy, serious doubts emerged about the ability of spontaneous supply and demand forces to recover the economic structure left in shambles by this disruptive shock.


Keywords


Economic Growth, Healthcare, Economics, Epidemiology

Full Text:

PDF

References


Acemoglu, D. (2020, Apr 20). La sociedad debe permanecer vigilante ante el avance del Estado. (L. Torras, Interviewer) Retrieved from https://www.elmundo.es/economia/actualidad-economica/2020/04/20/5e99c241fdddff964d8b4581.html

Arroyo Marioli, F., Bullano, F., Kucinskas, S., & Rondón-Moreno, C. (2020, May 10). Tracking R of COVID-19: A New Real-Time Estimation Using the Kalman Filter. doi:10.2139/ssrn.3581633

Baldwin, R., & Weder di Mauro, B. (Eds.). (2020). Mitigating the COVID Economic Crisis: Act Fast and Do Whatever It Takes. London: CEPR Press.

Gourinchas, P.-O. (2020, June 03). Flattening the pandemic and recession curves. Retrieved from VOX: https://voxeu.org/article/flattening-pandemic-and-recession-curves

Lane, P. R. (2020, Mar 13). The monetary policy package: An analytical framework. Retrieved from European Central Bank: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/blog/date/2020/html/ecb.blog200313~9e783ea567.en.html

Lustig, N., & Mariscal, J. (2020, Mar 18). How COVID-19 Could Be Like the Global Financial Crisis (Or Worse). Retrieved from Center for Global Development: https://www.cgdev.org/blog/how-covid-19-could-be-global-financial-crisis-or-worse

Romer, P. (2020, May 1). $11 billion for Testing by States Could Run Out in 8 Days. Retrieved from paulromer.net: https://paulromer.net/uses_for_tests/

Rondon-Moreno, C. & Marioli, F. & Bullano, F. (2020). Dynamics of Transmission and Control of COVID-19: A Real-time Estimation Using the Kalman Filter. 10.1101/2020.04.19.20071886.


Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.